Standings can deceive in multiteam postseason races (Yahoo Sports)
Take a look at the American League's second wild card, for example: Right now, Baltimore leads that race and Detroit is only two games back, but according to the playoff probabilities at Fangraphs.com , the Orioles have only a 43 percent chance to reach the postseason, and the Tigers are at 36 percent. The New York Mets are only 2 1/2 games behind St. Louis for the second wild card in the National League - hardly a daunting deficit with over a month to play. Fangraphs gives the Mets a 19-percent chance to make it.
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