Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Standings can deceive in multiteam postseason races (Yahoo Sports)

Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Tommy Joseph loses control of the ball as New York Mets' Asdrubal Cabrera (13) beats the throw to first base of a baseball game Sunday, Aug. 28, 2016, in New York. Cabrera was injured on the play. (AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)

Take a look at the American League's second wild card, for example: Right now, Baltimore leads that race and Detroit is only two games back, but according to the playoff probabilities at Fangraphs.com , the Orioles have only a 43 percent chance to reach the postseason, and the Tigers are at 36 percent. The New York Mets are only 2 1/2 games behind St. Louis for the second wild card in the National League - hardly a daunting deficit with over a month to play. Fangraphs gives the Mets a 19-percent chance to make it.


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